By Thanos P Dokos

As counter-profileration is anticipated to turn into the imperative point within the new nationwide defense coverage of the U.S., such activities will represent a relevant section of each significant foreign clash within the first many years of the 21st century. the most vital geostrategic phenomena of the earlier decade has been the extreme diffusion of war-making features from the constructed North to the constructing South. within the eyes of a few proliferant states, owning nuclear, organic and chemical (NBC) guns wouldn't simply upload to their nearby stature, yet might additionally supply an asymmetrical counter to the West’s large superiority in traditional forces.

In the japanese Mediterranean and the center East, a couple of nations are assumed to own various degrees of NBC-weapons functions. purposes for situation contain the truth that such guns were utilized in the prior; the region’s geographic proximity to Europe and the very important pursuits of the West (which is ready, below yes situations, to take advantage of strength to guard them); the multiplicity of conflicts and different defense difficulties; and the overall instability within the sector (including the unfold of spiritual extremism).

This vital and well timed ebook assesses, intimately, the accuracy of predictions, and perceptions, a few attainable army chance from the Southern Mediterranean (Muslim) international; and their effect on NATO’s political and armed forces posture. Thanos P. Doxos provides an evaluate of the Alliance’s suggestions for facing the matter. This ebook represents a useful, topical source for researchers and coverage makers.

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Additional resources for Countering the Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction: NATO and EU Options in the Mediterranean and the Middle East

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In the current strategic environment, whether the US and Russia have 2,000 or 1,000 weapons is of less importance than in the Cold War era. Of primary significance are the existence of a steady reduction process and a relative devaluation of the importance of nuclear weapons. If abolition lies at the end of the road, so much the better, but it looks like an unrealistic goal for the foreseeable future. Our highest priority in the field on non-proliferation should be the strengthening of the NPT and the non-proliferation regime.

12 The use of battlefield weapons could easily lead to escalation and to an all-out nuclear war between adversaries. Thus, the acquisition of battlefield nuclear weapons could be a highly destabilizing development. It must be conceded that the very limited historical record does not give much support to the pre-emptive/preventive attack argument. The US did not attack the Soviet Union before the latter had acquired a second-strike force, nor did the USSR attack China at a comparable stage of its nuclear weapons development programme (although it is almost certain that it considered doing so).

Thus, the acquisition of battlefield nuclear weapons could be a highly destabilizing development. It must be conceded that the very limited historical record does not give much support to the pre-emptive/preventive attack argument. The US did not attack the Soviet Union before the latter had acquired a second-strike force, nor did the USSR attack China at a comparable stage of its nuclear weapons development programme (although it is almost certain that it considered doing so). Nevertheless, it is believed that the special characteristics of most candidate NWS would increase the probability of the use of nuclear weapons.

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